Business

CPI vs WPI: how India measures inflation

India's two main inflation gauges told very different stories in August 2026, with retail inflation at 4.82% and wholesale inflation at 9.92%. Here is what each index measures, why they diverge, and which one the RBI targets.

Illustrative cover: CPI vs WPI: how India measures inflation
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India measures inflation mainly through two indices. The consumer price index (CPI) tracks the retail prices households pay for a basket of goods and services. The wholesale price index (WPI) tracks prices of goods at the first point of bulk sale: the factory gate, the mine or the mandi. The CPI is the one that matters most for policy, because it is what the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) targets. In August 2026 the two diverged sharply: CPI inflation was 4.82%, while WPI inflation was 9.92%.

What the CPI measures

The CPI is compiled by the National Statistics Office under the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). Since February 2026 it uses a new base year, 2024 = 100, replacing the 2012 series, according to MoSPI’s first release on the new base.

Key features of the current series, per MoSPI:

  • Weights come from the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey 2023-24, so the basket reflects what households actually spent in that year.
  • 358 items: 308 goods and 50 services, up from 299 items in the old series.
  • 12 divisions under the UN’s COICOP 2018 classification, replacing the old six groups.
  • Food and beverages carry a 36.75% weight, down from 45.86% in the 2012 series. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels carry 17.67%, and transport 8.80%.
  • Prices are collected from 1,407 urban markets (including online markets) and 1,465 villages.

MoSPI publishes rural, urban and combined indices; the “headline” number is the combined index.

What the WPI measures

The WPI is compiled by the Office of the Economic Adviser in the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT). Its current series uses 2022-23 as the base year, matching the new GDP series, according to the Office’s FAQ on the new series.

Key features, per the Office of the Economic Adviser:

  • 957 items, up from 697, with 15,254 price quotations.
  • Goods only. The WPI does not cover services.
  • Three major groups: primary articles (22.76% weight), fuel and power (14.11%) and manufactured products (63.13%), according to the August 2026 release.
  • Weights are based on the gross value of output, a producer’s view of the economy, not on household spending.
  • Prices are ex-factory for manufactured goods, mandi prices for farm produce and ex-mine prices for minerals.

Since the 2026 revision, the Office also publishes an output producer price index and a trial input producer price index alongside the WPI. These cover the prices producers receive and pay, and feed into the GDP calculations.

CPI vs WPI at a glance

CPIWPI
PublisherNSO, MoSPIOffice of the Economic Adviser, DPIIT
Current base year2024 = 1002022-23 = 100
What it pricesRetail prices paid by householdsFirst-stage bulk prices: factory gate, mandi, mine
Services covered?Yes (50 service items)No
Number of items358957
Weight basisHousehold spending (HCES 2023-24)Gross value of output
Food weight36.75% (food and beverages)24.99% (WPI Food Index)
Monthly releaseAround the 12th–14th of the following month14th of the following month (or next working day)
August 2026 inflation4.82%9.92%
Key usesRBI’s inflation target, GDP deflationGDP deflation, indexation in business contracts, early warning of input costs

Why CPI and WPI diverge

The Office of the Economic Adviser’s FAQ lists several reasons the two indices move apart. In plain terms:

Different baskets. CPI includes services such as rent, education, health and transport fares, which the WPI leaves out. The WPI is heavy in intermediate goods such as metals, chemicals and fuels that households never buy directly.

Different weights. Food matters much more to household budgets than to the WPI, while fuels and industrial inputs matter more to the WPI.

Global prices. Many WPI items, especially crude oil products and metals, are traded internationally, so the WPI reacts quickly to global price swings. The CPI’s services component is largely non-tradable and moves more slowly.

Lags. Wholesale price changes often take time to pass through to retail prices, and some are absorbed by margins along the way.

August 2026 is a clear example. WPI inflation of 9.92% was driven by fuel and power, where wholesale prices were up 22.93% on the year, along with food articles and basic metals, according to the Office of the Economic Adviser. Mineral oils alone carry an 8.19% weight in the WPI. Retail inflation rose too, but to a much lower 4.82%, because the CPI basket is dominated by food and services. The gap was also widened by base effects: the Office’s own chart shows WPI inflation close to or below zero in late 2025, which makes this year’s year-on-year comparison look larger.

Which one does the RBI target?

The RBI targets headline CPI inflation. Under the flexible inflation targeting framework, the target is 4%, with a tolerance band of 2% to 6%. On 25 March 2026 the government retained this target for the five years from 1 April 2026 to 31 March 2031, according to the RBI. The RBI is deemed to have failed if average inflation stays above 6% or below 2% for three consecutive quarters.

The CPI is the index closest to the prices people actually pay. The WPI still matters to the RBI as an early signal of cost pressure building up the supply chain.

At its August 2026 meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee kept the repo rate at 5.25% and projected CPI inflation of 5.0% for 2026-27, according to the RBI’s policy statement of 5 August 2026. Its next decision is due on 7 October 2026. Our explainer on the repo rate shows how these decisions reach your loan EMI.

Headline vs core inflation

Headline inflation is the change in the full CPI basket. Core inflation strips out food and fuel, the two most volatile components, to show underlying price pressure.

India does not publish an official core CPI number. Economists and the RBI compute it themselves. The RBI’s August 2026 statement projected core inflation of 4.3% for 2026-27. For August 2026, BNP Paribas estimated core inflation at 4.3%, up from 3.3% in March, according to Business Today.

Why it matters: if headline inflation rises because of a vegetable price spike, the RBI may look through it. If core inflation is also rising, price pressure is spreading, and that is harder to ignore.

Food inflation

Food is the single largest part of the CPI, and it is volatile. MoSPI tracks it through the Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI). In July 2026, CFPI inflation was 5.52%, according to MoSPI. In August it rose to 5.95%, with rural food inflation at 6.13% and urban at 5.64%, according to Business Today’s report of the MoSPI data. Onion prices were up 48.27% and ginger 73.82% on the year, while tomato and potato prices fell.

The WPI has its own Food Index, combining food articles and manufactured food products, with a 24.99% weight. It showed 7.05% inflation in August 2026.

The latest prints

MeasureJuly 2026August 2026
CPI (combined, base 2024)4.45%4.82%
CPI rural / urban4.84% / 3.96%5.23% / 4.31%
Consumer Food Price Index5.52%5.95%
WPI (base 2022-23)9.78%9.92%
WPI primary articles8.52%7.76%
WPI fuel and power20.05%22.93%
WPI manufactured products8.29%8.37%

August CPI figures are provisional; WPI figures are provisional and are finalised two months later. September WPI is due on 14 October 2026.

Both price indices also feed into GDP: MoSPI uses them to convert nominal output into real output. Our guide on how to read India’s GDP numbers shows how.

The point: CPI measures what households pay; WPI measures what producers charge at the first sale. The RBI targets CPI at 4%, within a 2–6% band, so CPI drives interest-rate decisions. A wide gap, like August 2026’s 4.82% versus 9.92%, usually signals fuel or commodity shocks that may or may not reach shop shelves, which is why core and food inflation are worth watching too.

Sources

Chander Prakash

Chander Prakash

Chander Prakash is the founder and editor of Pointales. He reviews every story before it is published and sets the publication's editorial standards, with a focus on clear, well-sourced explanations of business and technology.